Study:What if? An Outline of Economic Potentials for Germany

Junge Wissenschaftlerin hält einen Vortrag zum Thema Innovation, Digitalisierung und Bildung. I

Germany

Potential areas for more economic activity

In economic terms, the last few years in Germany have been characterized by a slow decline. The study looks at potential areas for more economic activity and possible opportunities. The focus is on three key areas that are central to increasing competitiveness and productivity: innovation, digitalization and education. Without innovation, in particular, it will not be possible to master today’s most pressing social, economic and technological challenges. Very specific factors are identified for which the growth potential is calculated. Tapping into these areas of potential would result in more than 410 billion euros in additional gross domestic product (GDP)

Study commissioned by Meta: What if? An Outline of Economic Potentials for Germany

to the study

Overview

Economic potentials

The economic potential areas identified in this study are created by estimating the correlation between competitiveness indicators and GDP per capita using elasticities. This quantitative measure is widely used in economics; elasticities are measured in percentage changes, which makes them comparable across different factors with different units of measurement. An elasticity indicates in which direction and by how many percent a factor changes when another factor increases by one percent.

  • The Potential of Innovation: Overcoming chronic venture capital weakness
  • The Potential of Digitalization: Accelerating the development of digital capital stock
  • The Potential of Education: Universities as a gateway to economic growth
Economic potential for Germany: Elasticity of real GDP per capita with respect to the predictor, combined with the percentage difference between the top performer’s score and Germany’s score. Analysis for 48 countries associated with the OECD.

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